Taiwan – China Crisis: analyzing competing hypotheses

 
Based on your analysis of the PRC-Taiwan scenario prepare a six page narrative essay ranking the three hypotheses All papers must follow the format contained in the Week Six “Lessons” folder. Remember, ACH Step 7 is the most important step of all and accounts for a significant portion of your course grade.

General Requirements

1. Document Format.
a. MS Word document
b. One-inch (1�) margins
c. Times New Roman Font
d. Twelve (12) pitch

2. Citation Format: Turabian. As stated in the Academic Integrity Briefings, information taken directly from another source must be placed in quotations and cited following the Turabian format contained in the week one �lessons� folder.

3. Graphics are not allowed.

4. As stated in the grading rubric, students must (1) employ imaginative approaches to answer the question being asked; (2) display an impressive command of the subject matter beyond the immediately obvious; (3) demonstrate a high level of critical thinking y reflection current and world views, and genuine intellectual development; and (4) excel in explaining all major points using multiple examples from the course readings or individual research.
Title Page.
(a) Title of the paper: The PRC-Taiwan Crisis; Assessing Alternative Outcomes
(b) Student Name.
(c) Course Number.
(d) Instructor Name.
(e) Date the paper was completed.
Length: Minimum of six pages, no more than seven pages (double spaced, not including the title page and Selected Bibliography).
?
Section I: Introduction.
(a) This section briefly summarizes the scenario and the three potential outcomes (Diplomatic Solution or Limited Intervention or Direct Attack).
Section II�Outcome Assessed to be most likely to Occur: [enter outcome here]
(a) Provide insight as to how you arrived at your conclusion.
(b) Provide examples from the ACH Matrix supporting and refuting each hypothesis (Step #3).
(c) Identify the �linchpin� evidence and discuss how it ultimately drove your analysis (Step #4).
(d) State the underlying assumptions associated with your linchpin evidence (Step #6)
Section III� Second Most Likely to Occur: [enter outcome here]
(a) Provide insight as to how you arrived at your conclusion.
(b) Provide examples from the ACH Matrix supporting and refuting each hypothesis (Step #3).
(c) Identify the �linchpin� evidence and discuss how it ultimately drove your analysis (Step #4).
(d) State the underlying assumptions associated with your linchpin evidence (Step #6)
Section IV- Least Likely to Occur: [enter outcome here]
(a) Provide insight as to how you arrived at your conclusion.
(b) Provide examples from the ACH Matrix supporting and refuting each hypothesis (Step #3).
(c) Identify the �linchpin� evidence and discuss how it ultimately drove your analysis (Step #4).
(d) State the underlying assumptions associated with your linchpin evidence (Step #6)
Note: A conclusion is not required
Citations-Turabian Format
(a) If a citation comes directly from the PRC-Taiwan scenario students are only required to place the citation in quotations; no Turabian style citation is required.
(b) If a citation comes from a source other than the PRC-Taiwan scenario, then it must be cited using the Turabian format.
(c) A Selected Bibliography is required only if information contained in a report comes from a source other than the PRC-Taiwan scenario. The Selected Bibliography contains all sources consulted and cited in preparing your paper.

Analytical Terms of Reference
Papers must incorporate the following analytical standards which are common
throughout the Intelligence Community. These standards equate to the �content/subject knowledge,� �critical thinking,� and �writing conventions� section of the grading rubric.

 

 

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